The Next Five Centuries

Event · era

The Grinding

2030–2080

Insurance withdraws, breadbasket failures in 2041 and 2058, wet-bulb heat.

Read more in The Long Heat

The Grinding (2030–2080). Insurance withdraws from coasts and flood plains; property wealth evaporates for a generation. Simultaneous breadbasket failures in 2041 and 2058 break the faith that markets can feed everyone. Wet-bulb heat makes parts of South Asia, the Gulf and the Sahel seasonally uninhabitable at midday. Tens of millions move every decade.

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