The Next Five Centuries

Event · era

The Contraction

2100–2180

Population falls from about 10 billion to about 6 billion by 2200.

Read more in The Long Heat

Within surviving states, real authority shifts to cities, river-basin compacts and climate-refuge treaties. These institutions keep people alive while capitals retain their armies and debts. Refuge cities admit more people than they will trust with a vote, establishing a division between citizen and resident that outlasts the emergency (see <a href="politics.html">Politics</a>).

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